Dynamics of Children's Movement Among the AFDC, Medicaid, and Foster Care Programs Prior to Welfare Reform:  1995 – 1996

Appendix of Tables

Table CA1:
Competing Risk Cox Regression Model Estimates:
California

Variables	Parameter Estimate	S. E.	p-value	risk ratio	Comparison of Coefficients: t value
AFDC-FC Transition					FC vs. No Services
Age
Infant	1.11	0.14	0.00*	3.02	18.88*
Age 1-4	0.55	0.14	0.00*	1.73	10.38*
Age 5-9	0.29	0.15	0.05	1.33	8.24*
Age 10-14	0.31	0.15	0.05	1.36	8.23*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	0.01	0.03	0.71	1.01	-0.29
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	-0.12	0.04	0.00*	0.88	-11.04*
20-30% in pov	-0.12	0.06	0.04*	0.89	-8.74*
>30% in pov	3.01	0.58	0.00*	20.39	2.56*
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.27	0.04	0.00*	0.76	0.17
Hispanic	-1.07	0.04	0.00*	0.34	-19.56*
Other	-1.50	0.10	0.00*	0.22	-10.03*
AFDC-Medicaid Transition					Med vs. No Services
Age
Infant	-0.63	0.01	0.00*	0.53	47.78*
Age 1-4	-0.32	0.01	0.00*	0.72	31.87*
Age 5-9	-0.19	0.02	0.00*	0.83	37.68*
Age 10-14	-0.17	0.02	0.00*	0.84	37.02*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.01	0.01	0.02*	0.99	-4.11*
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	0.37	0.01	0.00*	1.45	5.66*
20-30% in pov	0.44	0.01	0.00*	1.55	3.67*
>30% in pov	0.02	0.41	0.97	1.02	-3.07*
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.20	0.01	0.00*	0.82	5.38*
Hispanic	-0.12	0.01	0.00*	0.89	7.31*
Other	-0.42	0.01	0.00*	0.66	6.10*
AFDC-No service Transition
Age
Infant	-1.48	0.01	0.00	0.23
Age 1-4	-0.94	0.01	0.00	0.39
Age 5-9	-0.94	0.01	0.00	0.39
Age 10-14	-0.96	0.01	0.00	0.38
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	0.02	0.01	0.00	1.02
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	0.31	0.01	0.00	1.36
20-30% in pov	0.39	0.01	0.00	1.47
>30% in pov	1.43	0.21	0.00	4.18
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.28	0.01	0.00	0.76
Hispanic	-0.20	0.01	0.00	0.82
Other	-0.53	0.01	0.00	0.59
Note: Baseline levels are indicated as risk ratio of 1.
*  Estimates are statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

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