Dynamics of Children's Movement Among the AFDC, Medicaid, and Foster Care Programs Prior to Welfare Reform:  1995 – 1996

Appendix of Tables

Table NC1:
Competing Risk Cox Regression Model Estimates:
North Carolina

Variables	Parameter Estimate	S. E.	p-value	risk ratio	Comparison of Coefficients: t value
AFDC-FC Transition					FC vs. No Services
Age
Infant	1.14	0.27	0.00*	3.14	9.36*
Age 1-4	0.63	0.29	0.03*	1.87	3.38*
Age 5-9	0.51	0.29	0.08*	1.67	3.01*
Age 10-14	0.43	0.30	0.15*	1.54	2.66*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.21	0.08	0.01*	0.81	-2.28*
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	-0.08	0.11	0.48	0.92	-1.08
20-30% in pov	-0.03	0.13	0.82	0.97	-0.47
>30% in pov	-0.02	0.37	0.96	0.98	0.10
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.29	0.09	0.00*	0.75	1.05
Hispanic	-1.14	0.34	0.00*	0.32	-3.56*
Other	-0.03	0.17	0.87	0.97	1.77
AFDC-Medicaid Transition					Med vs. No Services
Age
Infant	0.21	0.04	0.00*	1.23	36.77*
Age 1-4	0.06	0.04	0.17*	1.06	8.85*
Age 5-9	0.13	0.04	0.00*	1.14	10.65*
Age 10-14	0.13	0.04	0.00*	1.14	10.38*
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.00	0.02	0.77	1.00	0.92
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	0.18	0.02	0.00*	1.20	4.88*
20-30% in pov	0.12	0.03	0.00*	1.13	2.63*
>30% in pov	0.32	0.07	0.00*	1.38	4.12*
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.38	0.02	0.00*	0.68	-0.12
Hispanic	-0.24	0.04	0.00*	0.78	-6.67*
Other	0.09	0.03	0.00*	1.10	9.66*
AFDC-No service Transition
Age
Infant	-1.42	0.02	0.00*	0.24
Age 1-4	-0.36	0.02	0.00*	0.70
Age 5-9	-0.36	0.02	0.00*	0.70
Age 10-14	-0.37	0.02	0.00*	0.69
Age 15-17				1.00
Gender
Female	-0.02	0.01	0.08	0.98
Male				1.00
County Poverty
Less than 10%				1.00
10-20% in pov	0.04	0.02	0.02*	1.04
20-30% in pov	0.03	0.02	0.14	1.03
>30% in pov	-0.06	0.06	0.37	0.95
Race/Ethnicity
White				1.00
Black	-0.38	0.01	0.00*	0.68
Hispanic	0.08	0.03	0.00*	1.09
Other	-0.33	0.03	0.00*	0.72
Note: Baseline levels are indicated as risk ratio of 1.
* Estimates are statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

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