Modeling & Simulation

To assess how different tax break proposals for private long-term care insurance might affect private coverage, better information is needed on the decision to purchase long-term care insurance and the sensitivity of the purchase decision to price changes. This report describes the results of efforts to model private long-term care insurance coverage and simulate policy reforms.

IntroductionWhat This Report Is About

RIchard W. Johnson, Simone G. Schaner, Desmond Toohey, and Cori E. Uccello The Urban Institute   This report was prepared under contract between the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), Office of Disability, Aging and Long-Term Care Policy (DALTCP) and the Urban Institute.

This report examines the potential for asset-based pre-funding of retirement income and disability insurance through an annuity that provides both income and long term care protection. The potential for such products is examined in the context of the possible use of reverse mortgage as a funding source for the annuity.

In previous work for ASPE, the University of Minnesota developed a model to simulate the effects of the Medicare Modernization Act of 2003 on the take-up of high-deductible health insurance plans.

Chapter I - Program Evaluation at the Department of Health and Human ServicesThis Performance Improvement 2006 report presents to Congress a comprehensive summary of evaluation projects completed by the Department, The Office of the Secretary, and agencies comprising the Department, engage in extensive evaluation activities;

This Issue Brief presents an estimate of the number of children who meet the eligibility requirements for child care assistance under the Child Care and Development Fund. The estimates are produced by the Transfer Income Model (TRIM) developed by the Urban Institute under contract to ASPE.

The TRIM microsimulation model produces a baseline of Medicaid and SCHIP eligibility and enrollment using adjustments that correct for the undercount in program participation on the Current Population Survey (CPS). This report presents a detailed explanation of the TRIM mmethodology.

This study examines eligibility and participation among married and single parents in TANF and Food Stamp Programs. Results show that even among eligible families below 200% of poverty, married parents are less likely to participate in TANF and Food Stamps compared to single parents.

ForewordThis report, Performance Improvement 2005: Evaluation Activities of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, complies with Section 241(b) of the Public Health Service Act, as amended by the Preventive Health Amendments of 1993.